Regime-Dependent Macro Exposures in Emerging Market Bond ETFs
In this project, supervised by OQAM, analysts Vilhelm Hilding, Jacob Fransson and Dag Vallien investigate how global macro conditions drive the returns of two emerging market bond ETFs: EMB (USD-denominated) and EMLC (local-currency). Using a rolling linear factor model, they estimate time-varying exposures to equity markets, US dollar strength, interest rates, credit sentiment, commodities, and volatility across a 10-year period.
