In this project, analysts Carl Nordahl, Alexander Ihrfelt and Alfred Hultgren investigate whether crypto prediction market contracts can be valued using traditional derivatives pricing methods. Focusing on Polymarket contracts tied to the question “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?“, they model the contracts as one-touch barrier options and compare a closed-form approximation with a Monte Carlo framework using EWMA volatility and jump-diffusion dynamics.
In this project, supervised by AP3, analysts Alexander Nilsson, Peder Persson, and Samuel Eriksson investigate whether Mean-Variance Optimization (MVO) can be enhanced by shrinking the off-diagonal elements of the covariance matrix. Utilizing a 20-year dataset, they backtest models incorporating spectral filtering and shrinkage techniques to assess the robustness and practical feasibility of the optimization process.
In this project, supervised by SEB, analysts Ludvig Cederlund, Sofie Melander and Malcolm Cederbaum investigate how the EUR/SEK exchange rate can be predicted using market data along with proprietary trade data from SEB. Utilizing the XGBoost model, they work on a 10-minute frequency to perform binary classification of short-term price direction.
In this project, supervised by OQAM, analysts Vilhelm Hilding, Jacob Fransson and Dag Vallien investigate how global macro conditions drive the returns of two emerging market bond ETFs: EMB (USD-denominated) and EMLC (local-currency). Using a rolling linear factor model, they estimate time-varying exposures to equity markets, US dollar strength, interest rates, credit sentiment, commodities, and volatility across a 10-year period.
In this fundamental analysis report, analysts Linus Melin and Vilhelm Ruhr provide an in-depth analysis of Safeture, a Swedish SaaS microcap operating within people risk management. After a period of stagnant growth driven by prolonged sales lead times and a weak European market, Safeture is positioned for a comeback.
In this fundamental analysis, analysts Dennis Drevell Smith and Anna-Brita Hunter Nilsson examine Paxman AB, a UK based MedTech company operating a de facto monopoly in mechanical scalp cooling. An equally weighted DCF and relative valuation imply a potential upside of 58%, making Paxman a compelling buy opportunity.
In this fundamental analysis report, analysts Måns Rössberger and Emma Rosberg take a closer look at Careium AB, a Swedish provider of telecare solutions for seniors. Despite market concerns related to management changes and prior deficiencies in financial communication, Careium is positioned to benefit from a structurally growing market driven by aging demographics, with revenue projected to grow at a 4.0% CAGR through 2027.
In this fundamental analysis report, analysts James Göthman and Fredrik Ramel analyse Envipco Holding, a Norwegian producer of reverse vending machines (RVMs) for recycling bottles, managing the full value chain including service and maintenance.
In this fundamental analysis report, analysts Stephanie Jirhage and Kaspar Appelholm take a closer look at Brødrene A&O Johansen, a Danish family-owned wholesaler supplying technical products and components to professional tradesmen across Scandinavia. The market underestimates AOJ’s operating leverage, synergy-driven growth from recent acquisitions and underlying real estate value.
In this fundamental analysis report, analysts Nils Arvidsson and Felix Burestedt take a closer look at Formpipe Software AB, a Swedish software company specializing in document output management as an add-on to ERP systems. Following the divestment of the Company’s public sector operations, Formpipe is transitioning into a pure-play SaaS business with increased scalability and recurring revenues.
